Estimating the optimal number of migration edges from Treemix

This package uses results from the population software ‘Treemix’ by
Pickrell and
Pritchard (2012) DOI:10.1371/journal.pgen.1002967 to estimate the
optimal number of migrations edges to add to the tree. Furthermore, it
has also been updated to work with the output of OrientAGraph (see
Molloy et
al. 2021), a more advanced admixture graph representation software
built on top of the ‘Treemix’ engine. In Treemix, it was customary to
stop adding migration edges when 99.8% of variation in the data was
explained, but optM automates this process using an *ad hoc*
statistic based on the second order rate of change in the log
likelihood. OptM has added functionality for various threshold modeling
to compare with the ad hoc statistic. The various methods are:

- “Evanno” - calculates an
*ad hoc*statistic we call deltaM based on the Evanno method, or second-order rate of change in likelihood weighted by the standard deviation. - “linear” - estimates of the optimal M based on a piecewise linear (change point), bent cable (alpha), simple exponential (threshold, default 5%), or non-linear least squares (threshold, default 5%) models
- “SiZer” - a method to map and analyze derivatives for change point estimation for ecological modeling.

- To install from CRAN
- First install the R package ‘SiZer’ from CRAN using the command
`install.packages("SiZer")`

- Then install the OptM package using
`install.packages("OptM")`

- Load the package into your working R environment using
`library(OptM)`

- First install the R package ‘SiZer’ from CRAN using the command

To run OptM, you will need a folder of output files produced by
Treemix v1.13 or OrientAGraph. The function optM will automatically
search the folder for the *stem.llik*, *stem.modelcov.gz*,
and *stem.cov.gz* files; where “*stem*” is that provided
to the *-o* parameter of *treemix*. It is recommended, but
not required, to use *stem* in the format
*stem*.*i*.*M*; where

*stem*is any name you prefer*i*is the iteration number for that value of*M**M*is the number of migration edges used for the treemix run (*-m*parameter)

In order for optM to function properly, you must run:

- At least two iterations at each value of
*M*(the number of migration edges) *M*>2.- The range for
*M*must be sequential integers (e.g., 1, 2, 3, etc) - You do not need to run
*M*=0 because*treemix*automatically includes this as the null model in each run.

**NOTE: There will be an error check to see if there is
variation across iterations for each M. In other words, if the
data are very robust, you may get the same likelihood across all runs,
thus the standard deviation across runs is zero and the ad hoc
statistic is undefined. In this case, try making larger variations in
the dataset (subsetting the SNPs, varying -k in
treemix, or other method of
permutation/bootstrap).**

```
for m in {1..10}
do
for i in {1..5}
do
treemix \
-i test.treemix.gz \
-o test.${i}.${m} \
-global \
-m ${m} \
-k 1000
done
done
```

- First load the provided example data for a simulated dataset with 3
migration edges; and 10 iterations for
*M*={1-10}`folder <- system.file("extdata", package = "OptM")`

- Next, run
*optM*using the default “Evanno”-like method:`test.optM = optM(folder)`

- Finally, plot the results:
`plot_optM(test.optM, method = "Evanno")`

- Alternatively, run using various linear modeling estimates rather
than the
*ad hoc*statistic:`folder <- system.file("extdata", package = "OptM")`

`test.linear = optM(folder, method = "linear")`

`plot_optM(test.linear, method = "linear")`

- OR using
*SiZer*:`folder <- system.file("extdata", package = "OptM")`

`test.sizer = optM(folder, method = "SiZer")`

`plot_optM(test.sizer, method = "SiZer")`

- Version 0.1.6, 2021/9/30
- Updated citation for OptM

- Version 0.1.5, 2021/7/9
- Added capability to work with OrientAGraph output. Thanks Cui Wang!

- Version 0.1.4, 2019/7/1
- Fixed typos
- Squashed a plotting bug (changed Y axis labels to horizontal)
- Added ‘ignore’ parameter for when running Treemix with preset or fixed migration edges or input tree.

- Version 0.1.3, 2019/4/23
- The read.treemix function now searches for all treemix input files,
and the specially formatted
*stem*is no longer required. Thanks Jie Zhong!!!

- The read.treemix function now searches for all treemix input files,
and the specially formatted
- Version 0.1.2, 2019/3/1
- Fixed typo in DESCRIPTION - Pickrell and Pritchard 2012, not 2002
- In the
`plot_optM`

, changed the plotting color to have an alpha (semi-transparent) fill and Y-axis labels for Δm

- Version 0.1.1, 2019/1/2
- Released the first version

Fitak, R. R. (2021) OptM: estimating the optimal number of migration edges on population trees using Treemix. Biology Methods and Protocols. 6(1):bpab017.

- Or enter the command
`citation("OptM")`

into your R console

Robert Fitak

Department of Biology

University of Central Florida

USA

rfitak9@gmail.com